The Greater Toronto Area’s housing market continued to cool in October, with home sales dipping to a four-month low. Seasonally adjusted sales fell 2.3% from September, reflecting persistent buyer hesitation amid ongoing affordability challenges and elevated mortgage rates. Despite the slowdown, the home-price index saw a slight month-over-month uptick to C$976,600, suggesting minor resilience in certain segments of the market.

Realtors across the region report that listings are rising faster than demand, creating more balanced conditions after years of intense seller dominance. Many homeowners who entered the market earlier in the year are now reducing their asking prices to attract offers, while buyers remain selective. Detached and semi-detached homes in suburban areas have seen the sharpest declines in activity, as higher borrowing costs continue to limit affordability.

Market experts believe that the current stagnation could persist through the winter months unless monetary policy changes spark renewed confidence. Many potential buyers are closely watching the Bank of Canada for signals of an upcoming rate cut, which could lower borrowing costs and restore momentum. Until then, the Toronto market appears to be settling into a slower, more cautious rhythm heading into 2026.

Industry observers suggest that 2026 could become a pivotal year for Toronto’s housing recovery if rates start easing by spring. Lower borrowing costs, combined with ongoing population growth and strong immigration trends, could reignite buyer interest and stabilize prices. However, much will depend on wage growth and the pace at which the market absorbs current inventory levels.